Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.456553 0.523767 0.596661 0.681485 0.777374 0.882304 1.005718
2025-03-23 0.350569 0.440572 0.546474 0.679849 0.842883 1.035197 1.278731
2025-03-30 0.268440 0.367128 0.492302 0.661719 0.883895 1.164061 1.542671
2025-04-06 0.216597 0.320244 0.461063 0.664505 0.948657 1.328829 1.872790
2025-04-13 0.170783 0.271872 0.418401 0.643373 0.976428 1.446823 2.155687
2025-04-20 0.146510 0.249366 0.407390 0.663544 1.062775 1.654030 2.586125
2025-04-27 0.128371 0.232504 0.401332 0.688955 1.158690 1.884793 3.076698
2025-05-04 0.110392 0.212241 0.386070 0.696516 1.226334 2.078743 3.531536
2025-05-11 0.094434 0.192282 0.367685 0.695282 1.278041 2.251412 3.969413
2025-05-18 0.081329 0.174945 0.350794 0.693428 1.327148 2.423315 4.421951
2025-05-25 0.070944 0.160817 0.337297 0.695177 1.381719 2.608619 4.914093
2025-06-01 0.062680 0.149383 0.326974 0.700969 1.443477 2.811459 5.455182
2025-06-08 0.054013 0.135616 0.310227 0.692525 1.478659 2.972670 5.943273
2025-06-15 0.048754 0.128472 0.306067 0.709012 1.564582 3.236996 6.648923
2025-06-22 0.042347 0.117325 0.291457 0.701279 1.600386 3.408925 7.195829
2025-06-29 0.038054 0.110494 0.285380 0.711176 1.673917 3.661955 7.924879
2025-07-06 0.032636 0.099595 0.267997 0.692861 1.684209 3.787934 8.411362
2025-07-13 0.030279 0.096453 0.268826 0.717133 1.791538 4.124761 9.360151
2025-07-20 0.028376 0.094193 0.271491 0.746144 1.912901 4.502517 10.427911
2025-07-27 0.025760 0.089281 0.266485 0.755349 1.988928 4.788973 11.325651
2025-08-03 0.023051 0.083472 0.258104 0.754673 2.041045 5.027109 12.138710
2025-08-10 0.020636 0.078042 0.249846 0.753075 2.090548 5.263630 12.968391
2025-08-17 0.018630 0.073494 0.243327 0.755212 2.149585 5.527337 13.881954